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Painful Choices: A Theory of Foreign Policy Change by David A. Welch (Hardcover, 2005)
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ISBN-13: 9780691123400, 978-0691123400. Painful Choices. Under what conditions should we expect states to do things radically differently all of a sudden?. Welch argues that earlier efforts at general theory erred by aiming to explain state behavior, which is an intractable problem.