Picture 1 of 10
Picture 1 of 10
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
US $9.99
Approximately£7.52
or Best Offer
Condition:
Good
A book that has been read, but is in good condition. Minimal damage to the book cover eg. scuff marks, but no holes or tears. If this is a hard cover, the dust jacket may be missing. Binding has minimal wear. The majority of pages are undamaged with some creasing or tearing, and pencil underlining of text, but this is minimal. No highlighting of text, no writing in the margins, and no missing pages. See the seller’s listing for full details and description of any imperfections.
Postage:
US $5.38 (approx £4.05) USPS Media MailTM.
Located in: Hayward, California, United States
Delivery:
Estimated between Thu, 26 Sep and Tue, 1 Oct to 43230
Returns:
30 days return. Buyer pays for return postage.
Payments:
Shop with confidence
Seller assumes all responsibility for this listing.
eBay item number:166233507270
Item specifics
- Condition
- Book Series
- Incerto Ser.
- Narrative Type
- Nonfiction
- Original Language
- English
- ISBN
- 9781400063512
- Book Title
- Black Swan: Second Edition : The Impact of the Highly Improbable: with a New Section: on Robustness and Fragility
- Publisher
- Random House Publishing Group
- Item Length
- 9.6 in
- Edition
- 2
- Publication Year
- 2007
- Format
- Hardcover
- Language
- English
- Illustrator
- Yes
- Item Height
- 1.5 in
- Genre
- Computers, Social Science, Business & Economics
- Topic
- Information Theory, Decision-Making & Problem Solving, Future Studies, Statistics, Corporate Finance / General
- Item Weight
- 25 oz
- Item Width
- 6.4 in
- Number of Pages
- 480 Pages
About this product
Product Identifiers
Publisher
Random House Publishing Group
ISBN-10
1400063515
ISBN-13
9781400063512
eBay Product ID (ePID)
56992376
Product Key Features
Edition
2
Book Title
Black Swan: Second Edition : The Impact of the Highly Improbable: with a New Section: on Robustness and Fragility
Number of Pages
480 Pages
Language
English
Topic
Information Theory, Decision-Making & Problem Solving, Future Studies, Statistics, Corporate Finance / General
Publication Year
2007
Illustrator
Yes
Genre
Computers, Social Science, Business & Economics
Book Series
Incerto Ser.
Format
Hardcover
Dimensions
Item Height
1.5 in
Item Weight
25 oz
Item Length
9.6 in
Item Width
6.4 in
Additional Product Features
Intended Audience
Trade
LCCN
2006-051093
TitleLeading
The
Reviews
Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb "The most prophetic voice of all." --GQ Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking." -- The Times (London) "A masterpiece." --Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant." --Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works." --Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy." --The Wall Street Journal "Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into." -- Financial Times "Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition." --The New York Times Book Review, " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works."--Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into."-- Financial Times "A masterpiece."--Chris Anderson, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant."--Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times From the Trade Paperback edition., "The Black Swanchanged my view of how the world works."-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into."-Financial Times "A masterpiece."-Chris Anderson, author ofThe Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant."-Niall Ferguson,Los Angeles Times From the Trade Paperback edition., " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works."-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into."- Financial Times "A masterpiece."-Chris Anderson, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant."-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times From the Trade Paperback edition., " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works."-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into."- Financial Times "A masterpiece."-Chris Anderson, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant."-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times From the Trade Paperback edition.
Series Volume Number
2
Synopsis
Taleb delivers a groundbreaking look at the role played by the unexpected in life and history, and a fascinating examination of why we know less than we think we do--and what to do about it., The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes . A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book--itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb "The most prophetic voice of all." --GQ Praise for The Black Swan " A book] that altered modern thinking." -- The Times (London) "A masterpiece." --Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant." --Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works." --Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate " Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias and] narrative fallacy." --The Wall Street Journal "Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into." -- Financial Times "Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition." --The New York Times Book Review, A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. Now, in this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know. He offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and benefiting from them. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications "The Black Swan" will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probabilitytheory. "The Black Swan" is a landmark book-itself a black swan., The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don't know, now with a new section called "On Robustness and Fragility." A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book--itself a black swan.
LC Classification Number
Q375.T35 2007
Item description from the seller
Registered as a private seller
Thereby, consumer rights stemming from EU consumer protection law do not apply. eBay buyer protection still applies to most purchases.
Seller Feedback (243)
- l***2 (6)- Feedback left by buyer.Past yearVerified purchasecame just how it looks in the picture fast delivery very good communication CP Sport Portugal Soccer Football Jersey Kit 2008-2010 Home Red Men's Size Small (#165820614073)
- e***l (186)- Feedback left by buyer.Past monthVerified purchaseGreat seller, fast shipping!
- j***c (1974)- Feedback left by buyer.Past 6 monthsVerified purchaseReceived book on time as describedFundamentals of Motor Control--in Partnership with the NJATC by Michael A.... (#166242021876)
Product ratings and reviews
Most relevant reviews
- 07 Sep, 2022Most favourable review
Jaw dropping topic
Verified purchase: YesCondition: Pre-ownedSold by: thrift.books
- 10 May, 2014
Can be a hard book to read, so jump to core concepts listed in this review.
- 15 Sep, 2007
Misanthropic and Other Big Words!!
- 11 Mar, 2009
Good if you have a strong stomach
- 04 Oct, 2011
The underlying idea has some merit, but the presentation is boorish.
More to explore:
- Unabridged Audiobooks Nicholas Sparks,
- Audio Nicholas Sparks Books,
- Nicholas Sparks Fiction & Fiction Books,
- Nicholas Sparks Hardcover Fiction Books,
- Unabridged Audiobooks in English Nicholas Sparks,
- Nicholas Sparks Paperback Fiction & Fiction Books,
- Nicholas Sparks Fiction Romance Fiction & Books,
- Nicholas Sparks Fiction & Fiction Books Ex-Library,
- Black Bookmarks,
- Black Panther Comics, Graphic Novels & TPBs